Last time i promised predictions of 2006, here they are conveniently subdivided into multiple sections.
2006 will be both good and bad for gaming, the good thing is related to the X360 and the PS3 consoles, unfortunately so is the bad thing, sure the general graphical quality will increase, but the developers have just only started to familiarize themselves with the consoles and if we follow the pattern set by the PS2 and it’s predecessor the quality will increase, both graphical and gameplay wise.
The Xbox 360 will not do as well as the PS3 for tree reasons
1. legacy and backwards compatibility,
2. more raw power, and more uses than the 360
3. the 360 sales are only being kept alive artificially by Microsoft, they are not making a single penny out of it and they probably never will
It is said that the PS3 is going to be released sometime this spring, but i don’t think so, i don’t think Sony want to make the same mistake as they have previously, so when the PS3 is released, there will be plenty to go around, secondly they don’t want to repeat Microsoft’s mistake of only having a handful of semi good titles at release, so plenty of release titles as well.
But doing all this takes time, so spring does not seem likely, a game developer said recently September, this does however seem unlikely, it will be delayed, but i just can’t say when.
On the PC side however, things are not looking bright, and i think it’s because developers are developing for 4-5 consoles as well, but in return, 2007 and 2008 does look better as developers starts discontinuing the PS2/xbox line (the PS2 has in my mind always been bad for PC games).
Duke nukem forever will not be released, amazon.co.uk will claim that the release date will be in about two months
Nvidia will release the GF8800GTX card just in time for Christmas, and it will sport more than 32 pixel pipelines(probably 48 or 64) and 512MB GDDR4 (maybe only GDDR3, but it will support GDDR4 for later models) on the base model, in early 2007 we might just see a 1GB, it will also have a few new FSAA modes, support shader model 4 and work well with dual(or even quad) screen 4 core SLI mode.
No revolutionary new features though, it will just be a upgraded GF7800.
Dual core CPU’s will finally begin to pay off as coders start to grind away at them, but that is as far as it goes, i just can’t see any new features, i have not even heard of dramatically raised cpu speeds,
Is Intel going the same way as AMD is (lower speed, greater efficiency), but it doesn’t make sense to me, i was hoping for at least 4 Ghz, but no.
The Blueray/HD-DVD war won’t see a resolution, both parties are stubborn enough to not cave in, and the involvement of Microsoft just made the whole thing uglier, so by the end of the year we will be able to by movies in 4 or more different dvd like formats.
The apple made from white plastic will unleash a new iPOD nano, it will be slightly smaller and will be able to play tv-shows, there will also be a handful new other regular iPODs in ever increasing HD sizes, I’m guessing up to 100-150GB and with a new and improved oled display, it will be made from white plastic and brushed aluminum.
The new Intel iMacs have already been announced, the only problem is that they run at such low speeds, and in gaming there is(currently) no replacement for speed, I’m guessing that there will be another iMac announcement soon that delivers a computer that can actually play games, and not shitty old ones at that.
2006 will be a year of the digital media centers, everyone will need one because of all the varying media formats coming this year, they have already started advertising about them, and it will be the Christmas present of the year, that and a flat tv.
Speaking of witch, larger oled displays will start to come out on the market, both as tv sets and as computer displays, don’t get one just yet though, they will be expensive and not that great.
But the future potential for both greatness and cheapness are looking good, get one in 2008.
Sharon is dead, maybe not physically but definitely politically, this we all know, but his replacement will probably not be as big as him(both physically and politically), now this will probably be a positive thing in that area of the world.
Secondly there is an upcoming election in Israel and Sharon’s new party Kadima might create an interesting situation where power is split between more parties thus resulting in more compromises, that is good for the peace process.
Bush and the rest of the republicans will feel the heat this year, and i wouldn’t be surprised if there will be rumors of impeachment and other legal actions, hope not, i don’t want an overtly evil/greedy man with the power to push the big red kill all button (unless it’s me ofc).
A recall election would be a better choice, in that case we will get rid of both.
Moving on to Sweden, a big election is coming in September, and the outcome is as unsure as ever, the two big party blocks are in a dead heat and not one or two big newcomers this year but four, and all of them has at one time polled at around 20%, those numbers are not realistic but the interesting thing is that all four are not based on a traditional left/right ideology, or so they say, only one of them are truly not a left or right wing party, that party is called the pirateparty, while i don’t think any one of them will ever get above 4%, they will definitively cause permanent marks on Swedish politics.
Besides the above i can’t see anything else besides Iran to cause any special concerns, but then again, shit happens.
coming movies to watch out for could be Pink panter, Ice age 2, the da vinci code, Dead or Alive and so on, 2006 is not gonna be a spectacular movie year, in this respect 2007 might be a better one.
RIAA will continue putting foot in mouth, now this is a spectacular trick since they already have their head up their ass, nonetheless they will continue suing people, but they will now face increasing resistance, in fact i suspect that more lawsuits will be thrown out than they where expecting.
Although the RIAA don’t like this, i think we will see an increasing amount of artists that are changing their method of making money, this is good, better and free music is better for everyone.
RIAA and MPAA will continue working with Microsoft on TCPA, but it will now be called something else, nevertheless it will fail when it finally surfaces, but not this year, it is slated for the VISTA release, bit i don’t think it will be fully implemented until SP1.
But TCPA won’t be included in Linux and the design of TCPA requires every OS and hardware to support it, so the joke is on these companies, hahaha.
2006 has great potentials for stupidity, Bush will do something stupid, multiple times.
The moderate party in Sweden will end up with a foot firmly lodged in mouth as always at election time, it will take about a year for them to dislodge it, as always.
The president of Iran will spew out more stupidity than Baghdad bob ever could (at least bob was the funny one), the thing is that in the end not even Muslim hardliners would want to stand next to him, so maybe he will get a Darwin award.
American states will pass a number of violent video-game laws, coincidently an equal number of said laws will be put to death by higher institutions, coincidently #2 these games will also sell better now that they are rated higher, coincidently #3 kids will still play them at an even higher frequency now that they are “forbidden”.
Another DRM system will hit the world with the force of an nuclear bomb, fortunately the rest of the world will hit back with the force of a death star.
Things to look out for this year
My sisters birthday, witch is conveniently located right after April fools day, the day when blizzard will announce the real fifth alliance race (as opposed to the Pandaren (or worgen) who they will announce as the fifth race the day before).
GDC, id love to go, but i am content with the neat little pdf files nvidia, ati and 3dlabs produce, they keep me happy for the rest of the year.
E3, prepare for the console onslaught, Microsoft and Sony will compete in who is gonna out do the other one, i really want to go this year, there will be lots of phat loot at this years E3, and lots and lots of booth babes, maybe even booth babes as loot.
Sigraph, it’s always nice with sigraph, they show the softer and cooler side of computer games and graphics, not as soft as the booth babes or cool as the loot at E3 though.
The PS3 launch, the fact that they are not even trying to do PS3 ads now only says that they are going to launch it with a bang, it will be noticed, even by the dead.
Well that’s it, this darn thing took me a week or two to write.
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